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Explore the recommendations of our housing blueprint in more detail and how industry's recommendations be best implemented by the new government.
Please note: This is an extended version of our housing blueprint - Home building: An engine for growth, prosperity and opportunity - published June 2024.
Download Home Building: An Engine for Growth, Prosperity and Opportunity - Extended version in full.
The home building industry is at the coalface of tackling the housing crisis. Over the past five years alone, it has delivered around 1.2 million much needed new homes, helped hundreds of thousands of people realise their home ownership aspirations, and provided half of all Affordable Housing.
However, the contribution industry makes stretches far beyond just bricks and mortar. Each year, home building:
If housing delivery were to increase, this would not only provide vital new additions to this country’s housing stock but deliver further significant benefits for both the economy and local communities. Indeed, it is estimated that every 100,000 new homes built adds 1% to GDP.
While industry built more than 234,000 new homes in 2022-23, delivery remains considerably lower than the number of homes needed.
Due to decades of undersupply, England has far fewer dwellings relative to its population than other developed nations we typically consider peers, with 434 homes per thousand inhabitants, significantly fewer than France (590), Italy (587) and the OECD average of 487.
For England to ‘catch up’, a record-breaking net supply of 320,000 homes per year – nearly 100,000 more than current delivery levels – would be required.
However, with all available metrics suggesting that in the coming months and years house building is set to decrease, it remains an ambition that is moving ever further away:
The reasons for the decline in housing delivery are vast, including, but not limited to:
As a result, the election of a new government presents a real watershed moment for the industry in terms of future housing policy and its impact on supply.
Home builders want nothing more than to tackle the housing crisis, build vibrant new communities and for industry to play its part in increasing the growth, prosperity and opportunities of the country.
For industry to achieve its potential, a constructive and collaborative partnership between home builders and the new Government will be needed, alongside a pragmatic and evidence-based approach to policy making.
HBF recently published a blueprint of policies, Home building: An engine for growth, prosperity and opportunity, which outlines the actions industry considers would support not only the delivery of new homes but economic growth.
The remainder of this paper explores these recommendations in more detail and sets out how they could be best implemented by the next government.
England is the most difficult place in the developed world to find a home due to decades of under delivery. Not only are people grappling with the poor availability of appropriate housing, this country’s existing housing stock is also:
This country’s continuous failure to build enough homes is not unique to any tenure and is having a significant impact on all people searching for a home:
The remainder of this section will explore these issues in more detail and outline the recommendations HBF would encourage the next Government to introduce to tackle these challenges – as well as how these recommendations could be implemented.
In England, home ownership is the largest tenure and has been since the mid-1970s. The 2022-23 English Housing Survey found that 64.8% of people were owner occupiers, which is considerably lower than the 2003 peak of 70% (as demonstrated by the chart below).
There are also other causes for concern, with younger generations struggling to access the housing market without the support of family wealth. As home ownership has become less accessible, and following an extended period of low mortgage rates now passing into history, a growing proportion of mostly older home owners are now mortgage-free, again threatening to widen the gap between the haves and have nots.
In 1991, 24.8% of homeowners were outright owners. By 2022-23, this had increased by over 10 percentage points to 35.3%. Meanwhile, those buying a home with a mortgage fell from 43.1% in the early to mid-1990s to 29.5% in 2022-23.
Full-time employees in England could expect to spend around 5.1 times their workplace-based annual earnings on purchasing a home in 2002. By 2022, this had increased to 8.3.
In 2004, 56.7% of people aged 25-34 were owner-occupiers. In 2022-23, the figure was just 44.7% and has been below 50% every year since 2009-10.
From 31.4 in 2003-04 to 33.5 in 2022-23.
In 2022-23, 58% of FTBs were among the highest earners.
In 2022-23, 45% of FTBs used either inheritance or a gift or loan from loved ones for their deposit, up from 36% in 2015-16.
The current situation for FTBs is particularly challenging due to the closure of the Help to Buy Equity Loan scheme in 2023, which supported almost 400,000 buyers into home ownership during its lifetime and as of March 2023 had delivered £700 million in returns to the Exchequer from repaid equity loans.
Indeed, it is the first time in over 25 years that there has not been a government support scheme in place to support aspiring homeowners, and at a time when it has arguably never been needed more.
Any solution aimed at helping FTBs on to the property market needs to tackle two main barriers to be successful.
The first key challenge is the amount required for a deposit, with the average (mean) deposit of a first-time buyer in 2022-23 reaching £50,000 (£30,000 median).
Mortgage affordability is the other. Earlier this year, HBF research, based on the average purchase price for first-time buyers (FTBs), over the past 24 months, found they had experienced a 220% increase in annual mortgage payments.
While inflation (and interest rates) looks to be heading in the right direction, the days of historically low interest rates are seemingly behind us. The solution, therefore, must address both of the issues to help as many FTBs into ownership as possible.
To that end, HBF would welcome the introduction of a new equity loan scheme, targeted at aspiring home owners. A new scheme would:
Under this proposed scheme, FTBs would require a 5% deposit. This would be matched in the form of a 15% equity loan from Government, which would include a developer fee from the participating developer, equivalent to 1% of the sales price.
As a result, home buyers would gain access to a greater range of mortgage deals at far lower rates. 80% Loan to Value (LTV) mortgages are priced significantly cheaper than those above this level because of mortgage regulations governing capital requirements on LTV lending and risk weightings applied to portions of lending above 80%. By providing a government equity loan of 15% and reducing the LTV to 80%, buyers are more likely to benefit by falling below 4.5x Loan-to-Income ratios and thus, again, having access to more mortgage deals and cheaper pricing.
A homebuyer purchasing a £275,000 new, energy efficient home using a 5% deposit (£13,750) would be able to access a new build mortgage and would see monthly repayments reduced from around £1,450 to approximately £900.
Because the developer will not retain an equity stake, house price inflation benefits would be taken only by the homeowner and the Exchequer.
Supporting around 20,000 transactions per year (split 85/15 outside London/in London) would require the origination of equity loans worth £900m per year, of which more than £60m would be covered by developer fees. This £840m net initial support from HMG is less than half of the current Help to Buy annual income secured through redemptions and interest payments.
Worked example
First-time buyer purchasing a £275,000 property:
When the equity loan is paid off, Government would receive 15% of the value of the property despite the net upfront contribution having been 14% of the property value at origination. This is assuming that after three or five years, before interest is payable, the homeowner remortgages and repays the equity loan. This is the typical experience with Help to Buy. Should the value of the property have increased by 10% to £302,000 (1.9% compound HPI per annum assuming a five-year interest free period), the buyer repays Government £45,321.
Consideration could be given to the requirement for all homes purchased to be Energy Performance Certificate rated A-B – which are significantly cheaper to run and so more affordable for those purchasing them.
With regards to the potential for the introduction of price caps, Help to Buy regional price caps set in 2018 have suppressed first-time buyer opportunities in the north of England. As an alternative, a simple price cap structure of £600k in London and £450k elsewhere would mirror other schemes and provide simplicity for buyers. For London, consideration could also be given to a higher maximum equity loan amount. This could be 20% rather than the 15% elsewhere, reflecting constrained affordability and higher prices.
There are a number of measures beyond the introduction of a new first-time buyer support scheme that could help make home ownership a more affordable prospect while helping the country deliver on its environmental goals.
Despite the energy efficiency benefits new build homes provide, consumers are often unable to reap the full financial benefits of choosing a more energy efficient property. While mortgage providers frequently market “green mortgages”, these often see homebuyers benefit from a one-off cashback payment of a few hundred pounds. Therefore, although welcome, in practice they amount to more of a marketing tool rather than a proper green incentive for consumers.
HBF considers that buyers should benefit from the financial and environmental savings that the most energy efficient homes can offer, and that the actual running costs of the property being purchased should be factored into mortgage affordability calculations.
To put the scale of the potential savings into context, the average new build home is powered by 57% less energy, cutting energy bills by up to £183 a month. That's an annual saving of almost £2,200 on new build houses.
Despite the considerable differentials in the cost of heating new build homes compared with older properties, and the increasing percentage of monthly running costs that energy bills now represent, most mortgage affordability calculations include a single national average energy bill across all types of home regardless of the property’s efficiency.
The mortgage lending industry is effectively incentivising consumers through cheaper mortgage finance and higher loan-to-values to purchase older, inefficient homes which will see home owners face significantly higher long-term costs for maintenance, heating and, potentially, retrofitting.
In a modern market economy, customers should be assessed against the actual expected running costs of the property they will be purchasing rather than a national average energy bill. This would incentivise homebuyers to make eco-conscious decisions and ultimately lead to energy efficiency becoming a more important factor in determining a property’s value.
We would encourage the next Government to facilitate a discussion between industry and the mortgage lenders to explore how this can be taken forward in a more uniform way across the finance sector.
Beyond FTBs, there is a need to get the entire property market moving and find additional ways of incentivising people to make energy efficient choices when it comes to their housing.
Overall, housing transactions in recent years have been lower than the numbers seen during the 1990s and 2000s. In that period, typically 6-8% of the housing stock would change hands each year. Since 2008, this rate has hovered around 4%.
Inevitably, the uncertain economic environment of recent years has caused the housing market to stagnate further with housing transactions declining rapidly. The total number of residential property transactions in England declined by 11.4% between 2021/22 and 2022/23.
While there are now signs that transaction numbers are on the up once again with April 2024 marking the fourth consecutive month-on-month increase, there is still a long way to go before transaction levels get anywhere close to their peak ( HMRC, UK monthly property transactions commentary, 31 May 2024).
Reversing this shift in housing market activity would be beneficial for the overall market, and the economy more generally. Indeed, HBF/Knight Frank research found that for every 100,000 housing transactions, there is a net impact just shy of £1bn.
To boost housing market activity, Government could look again at its Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) policy. In this respect, research by the London School of Economics found that “the academic literature presents a near-universal consensus that stamp duty is a bad tax. There are three main reasons: first, it reduces mobility which means that the housing stock is inefficiently used: in particular, it reduces the incentive to older households to downsize which leaves younger family households with restricted choices. Secondly, it reduces productivity as people have less incentive to move house to take on a better job. Third, fewer moves mean commensurately lower consumption related to moving, which impacts negatively on economic activity”.
Should the next Government wish to consider some form of action on SDLT, it would be helpful for it to encourage consumers to prioritise energy efficiency by abolishing stamp duty for all purchases of all homes with an EPC rating of B or above.
The number of older people living in the UK is increasing rapidly. The results of the 2021 Census found that over 11 million people – 18.6% of the total population – were aged 65 years or older, compared with 16.4% at the time of the previous census in 2011.
In ten years’ time, this figure is expected to have increased to 13 million or 22% of the population, and by 2032 there will be five million people over 80 living in the UK. However, as the number of older people in the UK increases, the availability of homes specifically designed for later living is failing to keep pace. 90% of projected household growth in the coming decades is set to be amongst those aged 65 and over, taking the total number of homes owned by those aged 65 and over from 3.9 million today to at least five million by 2030.
Research from the Homes for Later Living Group suggests that approximately25% of the country’s 65+ population (nearly 3 million people) want to downsize. This is close to 1 million owner-occupier households. The average person under 65 moves every 12.5 years, but the equivalent figure for over 65s is 33 years because of the barriers to moving, demonstrating the need to give older people more opportunity to downsize should they wish to. These barriers include practical difficulties with moving house (due to age or illness), financial difficulties – both the cost of moving house and the cost of properties – and a lack of available, suitable homes.
The analysis also finds:
Helping more people who wish to downsize would not only support their independent living and generate significant savings for the NHS but would also help younger families looking for a family-sized home in prime locations (such as near schools) and thus release homes suitable for first-time buyers on to the market. Research finds:
For there to be a meaningful difference made to the volume of retirement housing, it is vital that planning authorities are required to plan positively for the provision of older people’s housing and to take account of the viability challenges its delivery involves.
At present far too many planning authorities do not have adequate policies for the supply and location of older people’s housing and nor is there a consistent and positive approach to the assessment of demand for different types and tenures of such housing across authorities.
A corollary is that the viability challenges involved in delivering specialist housing for older people are not systematically taken into consideration – or understood - in the formulation of local plan policies.
In this regard, it is important to understand that specialist housing development for older people is often competing against alternative commercial uses for unallocated sites in inner urban areas, where competitors do not face the same planning obligation requirements for affordable housing and where Community Infrastructure Levy (CIL) assessments for retirement development do not take account of the schemes’ non-saleable communal areas.
Overall, the lack of positive planning for older people’s housing and the limited consideration of its commercial and viability challenges is a major reason for the current under supply of such housing.
To resolve these challenges, every Local Planning Authority (LPA) should be required to:
The new Government could also consider the introduction of other measures, including:
HBF actively supported the work of the current Government’s Taskforce on Older People’s Housing, which is considering measures to improve the supply, quality and diversity of the housing offer for older people.
With the Taskforce’s work now complete, we encourage the next Government to publish and implement the recommendations of its work as quickly as possible.
That private sector housing delivery is now responsible for providing almost 50% of all affordable homes is something that is little understood, less appreciated, by many.
In the past five years alone, almost 140,000 new affordable homes have been delivered as a result of private sector cross-subsidy with developers contributing around £7bn towards affordable housing provision, infrastructure and amenity enhancements each year.
However, the contribution developers can make to tackling the crisis in affordable housing is under threat. Home builders are reporting to HBF that they are finding it increasingly difficult to fulfil their affordable housing S106 requirements due to a lack of bids from Registered Providers (RPs).
This is despite the fact:
Frustrations with the current situation are shared by developers, RPs and LPAs alike and the issue is the result of a ‘perfect storm’ of issues including:
HBF recently conducted a survey of some of its members to better understand the extent of the current challenges. The results found that as of March 2024, there are at least 13,000 S106 units with detailed planning permission that are currently uncontracted. Most concerningly, of the units for which a completion date was provided, more than a third (37%) are due for completion in 2024/25.
Through the survey, we have been made aware of almost 40 sites that are currently delayed across the country due to uncontracted S106 units. Others are at risk of stalling as the developer is close to the threshold of how much open market housing can be constructed before S106 units are delivered.
Anecdotally, we have also heard that developers are having to reconsider their speed and direction of build to manage capital on uncontracted units. We also know that for SMEs that rely on having a contracted buyer for S106 units to access development finance, this is an insurmountable challenge without LPA flexibility.
To overcome these issues, respondents to the survey reported that S106 units are increasingly being converted to other tenures, such as First Homes or Rentplus. While these are both valuable tenures, there is a significant need for more social rented and Affordable Rent Homes.
Furthermore, in many cases, LPAs are unwilling to consider cascade arrangements as part of Section 106 agreements leaving house builders in limbo with legal obligations to provide Affordable Housing but with no active market to provide these into.
It is vital that swift action is taken to support the delivery of these much-needed homes and HBF is having regular conversations with DLUHC, Homes England, RPs, and Local Government to find and establish a solution.
A key part of this solution could include, but not be limited to, encouraging a greater acceptance of cascade agreements by Local Planning Authorities (LPAs) which could be achieved via a Written Ministerial Statement (WMS) from the Government.
A cascade agreement allows for the affordable housing outputs to be changed – for example, if there is no interest from RPs in the proposed affordable dwellings within a certain timeframe then this can be changed to an alternative tenure or to a commuted sum in lieu of affordable housing which can be delivered elsewhere by the local authority.
Where possible, developers are working with LAs to negotiate cascade agreements but at present not all are open to their use.
Homes England’s Affordable Homes Programme, which provides grant funding to support the capital costs of developing affordable housing in England, is currently set to end in 2026.
Given the reliance of RPs on grant funding and the subsequent impact it has on appetite for S106 Affordable Homes, it is vital that the next government outlines its intentions with regards to the future of the programme as soon as possible.
Similarly, the Government should also adopt a long-term approach to social housing rents which is fair to residents but also provides vital stability and certainty to housing associations. This in turn will give the sector more confidence to invest in S106 units.
As outlined above, many RPs are choosing to focus solely on grant-funded units. The next government, working with Homes England, should consider whether grant funding could be made available for use on S106 units for a time-limited period.
By allowing RPs to ‘top up’ their bids with grant funding, a bit of breathing space would be created in which a longer-term solution could be sought, while also ensuring that much needed affordable new homes are not lost in the immediate to medium term.
For many decades, not enough homes have been built to meet the needs of the population. As a result of this housing shortfall, buying a home has become increasingly unaffordable, with younger generations and those on lower incomes bearing the brunt of this reality. Economic growth and job opportunities have also been constrained by limited delivery.
Furthermore, as highlighted earlier in this paper, all available metrics indicate that housing delivery is set to decrease considerably in the coming months and years - threatening to make the housing crisis even more acute for many households across the country. This worsening picture is due to a combination of economic uncertainty, inflationary pressures, and policy choices taken by the previous Government.
The current outlook for housing supply in the years ahead may be dire, but this downward trend is not inevitable. Increasing housing supply is possible if the right choices are made by the new Government. Indeed, in the early-mid 2010s, the commitment of policymakers to address the long-term undersupply of housing and the willingness of ministers to challenge ‘Not in my back yard’ (NIMBY) interests brought significant results - with housing supply rising 91% from the trough in 2012-13 to a high point of almost 250,000 homes in 2019-2. Economic challenges and a changing Government approach have now undercut this progress.
However, increasing delivery will not only provide much-needed new homes but maximise the economic and social benefits of development for local communities. In the following sections, HBF is proposing several practical steps that can be taken by the next Government to boost supply.
When introduced in 2012, the NPPF helped to drive up housing supply – introducing presumptions in favour of development, and measures to speed up decision-making. The NPPF also saw councils adequately incentivised to prepare and maintain local plans.
However, some of the December 2023 changes to the NPPF have weakened these incentives, meaning that fewer planning authorities are seeking to abide by their responsibilities to plan for the number of new homes communities need.
The two changes to the NPPF that will have the greatest impact on housing supply are:
The weakening of these requirements will significantly constrain the delivery of new housing supply in the years ahead. Research by Lichfields carried out for HBF last year estimates that the changes to the NPPF, particularly the removal of housing targets, could see housing supply fall by 77,000 homes per year. In turn, housing supply could now fall to its lowest level since the Second World War, with the changes to the NPPF being the main contributor.
A fall in housing supply of 77,000 homes a year would not only undermine efforts to tackle the housing crisis, but could also result in a loss of £17bn of economic activity each year and threaten over 200,000 jobs in a sector which relies on extensive domestic supply chains.
It is worth noting that the recent Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) report also expressed concern over the abolition of housing targets, acknowledging that “the recent steps announced by the UK government to allow LPAs to justify not meeting housing targets in England runs contrary to the direction of travel we consider most appropriate in this area”.
Therefore, we are calling on the new Government to issue a Written Ministerial Statement (WMS) and start the process of reversing some of the revisions to the NPPF made in December 2023 as soon as possible upon taking office.
While HBF was opposed to the abolition of mandatory housing targets, it appreciates that the Standard Method could be reformed to allay some of the concerns expressed by local authorities and communities with regards to housing delivery.
Should the next Government be minded to reform, we suggest that any alternative should:
An approach based on these principles would address the perception of “top-down targets” while continuing to ensure that local authorities do not duck or defer the difficult decisions needed to ensure the country’s housing needs are met. Ultimately, greater consensus on the nature of targets - and ensuring that new housing is delivered in a proportionate way - makes it more likely that these targets will be met.
There must also be a clear plan for how increases in housing delivery will be achieved. Indeed, the previous Government’s 300,000 annual target has never been achieved in part because of a lack of clarity over the steps needed to do so.
The industry has also faced considerable regulatory and political uncertainty in recent years. For instance, there have been 16 housing and planning ministers since 2010, often with shifting priorities and approaches. Another recurring theme has been delays, difficulties and uncertainty ahead of the implementation of new regulations – such as the introduction of Biodiversity Net Gain (BNG) earlier this year, or the Future Homes Standard (FHS). The industry can only be in a strong position to invest and increase housing delivery when it has certainty about the Government’s approach.
The development of a 10-year plan would be a strong foundation for efforts to increase housing supply. It would both provide industry with confidence and certainty about the broader policy and regulatory approach, while also requiring the Government to clarify the practical steps it will take to boost housing delivery.
In the face of an acute and worsening housing crisis, HBF considers it sensible to consider the different ways in which suitable land can be brought forward for development. Indeed, the availability of land is an ongoing concern for home builders, particularly those in the SME category.
For instance, 44% of respondents to our SME survey, run in conjunction with Close Brothers Property Finance and Travis Perkins last year, cited land availability as a major barrier to growth.
One way that this could be achieved is through a review of the Green Belt. For instance, many areas of the Green Belt are neither green nor beautiful, and previously developed sites such as petrol stations or car parks (sometimes referred to as the ‘grey belt’) offer great potential for new housing close to transport links and amenities.
As such, we consider that replacing the least aesthetic parts of the Green Belt that offer little to no ecological value with high quality, energy-efficient new homes should be a priority, while still ensuring the improvement of biodiversity and green spaces for local communities.
National planning policy has recently shifted away from this approach, with the revisions to the NPPF last December meaning that Green Belt boundaries do not need to be reviewed or altered, even if this would be the only way of meeting housing need in full. It is our view that the next Government should return to a more pragmatic approach to Green Belt policy.
The public tends to agree that this should be the approach to the Green Belt. The majority of people say that they would be supportive or not averse to more home building on areas of Green Belt land in their local area if it helped to make housing more affordable.
Respondents to a consumer survey were also considerably more supportive of building on green belt land when they were asked to consider specific types of sites, with 70% of respondents supportive in principle of homes being built on derelict buildings and 63% on disused petrol stations.
Local plan preparation remains slow, with research suggesting that by the end of 2025, just 22% of LPAs will have plans that are up to date and less than five years old, compared to 33% in July 2023.
This is holding back housing supply as, according to DLUHC’s own analysis, “on average, authorities without an up-to-date Local Plan would have 14% higher housing supply if their housing supply (as a proportion of existing housing stock) were as much as those with an up-to-date plan.”
Local plans are vital in setting out a pipeline of land for future supply, clarifying how the impacts and benefits of development should be balanced in each area, and giving certainty to both the industry and local communities. Therefore, there is a clear need to ensure greater local plan coverage in England.
While many of the measures the Government set out in its plan making consultation last year to simplify the process might lead to limited improvements, there are many other ways in which LPAs can be incentivised to keep local plans up to date. For instance:
These proposals are of varying degrees of severity, with local plan production initially being incentivised by attaching plans to infrastructure funding and local government grant formulas. The most intransigent of local authorities, however, should face central government intervention to ensure a local plan is in place (although such intervention should clearly not be a first resort).
The process of devolving powers to metro mayors and Combined Authorities holds much potential and can play a significant role in boosting housing delivery. The ability to make a spatial development strategy (SDS) is the single most important tool that Mayoral Combined Authorities could use to support housing delivery in their areas. This is because the preparation of SDSs covering larger geographic areas, rather than disparate planning by over 300 English local authorities acting in isolation, is a more efficient and effective way to meet housing needs and help grow and develop the economy.
Furthermore, SDSs also ensure that any unmet housing needs arising in a specific local authority area can be delivered with the cooperation of the other constituent local authority members of the Combined Authority area - sharing this among them based on an agreed spatial pattern of distribution. This is important because many of the core cities of England are under bounded and consequently struggle to accommodate their projected housing needs and the “urban uplift” in full within their administrative boundary, such as in Birmingham.
However, few Combined Authorities have sought this power and it is confined currently to Greater Manchester, Liverpool City Region, and the West of England. Furthermore, even if the power to make a spatial strategy has been conferred, it does not follow that one will be produced, or produced with any urgency - given it is not a legal duty. Consequently, this is a power that often goes unused, as has been the case in the Liverpool City Region and the West of England Combined Authorities.
Another issue with the current spatial planning framework is that the mayor must secure the unanimous support of constituent local authorities for an SDS. This gives any one local authority a strong power of veto, especially if there is any aspect of the plan that it is uncomfortable with.
Consequently, it is very difficult to progress a spatial plan that is ambitious in terms of its development requirements if this might upset one or more local authorities, especially if it proposes a spatial pattern of development where an element of the unmet housing need in one local authority area is exported to another.
A number of measures could be taken to ensure that spatial development strategies (SDS) are adopted and become a more integral part of the country’s planning framework – thereby ensuring we can meet the housing needs of urban areas:
Developing a Spatial Plan for England at a central Government level – to provide confidence to industry and facilitate the delivery of new homes – would also have similar benefits to SDSs, insofar as it would into account the housing and economic needs of the country as a whole, rather than just the disparate needs of over 300 local areas that are accounted for in local plans.
One of the biggest challenges facing developers of all sizes across the country is how to navigate a planning process which is beset by increasing costs, delays and uncertainty.
There are, of course, many reasons for these delays but the pivotal one is the fact that LPAs are considerably under-resourced and understaffed. These issues are resulting in discrepancies, administrative errors, and additional delays in all aspects of the planning process. The Competition and Markets Authority’s (CMA) recent report found that only 12% of planning applications were determined within 13 weeks.
As mentioned above, this has an impact on all developers but is proving particularly challenging for SME builders whose businesses are grinding to a halt. The uncertainty and delay also have consequences for builders that rely on project-based finance.
Concerns regarding resources have coincided with a decade of falling government investment in planning departments. A 2019 analysis by the Institute for Fiscal Studies revealed that gross spend on planning and development was reduced by 42% per person between 2009/10 and 2019/20. Net spend reduced by 60%, which was the largest reduction across all areas of local government. Broadly speaking, over the past 13 years, local authorities have reduced real terms spending on planning departments by around 50% while they now receive approximately 100% more major residential planning applications.
In addition to challenges concerning capital resources, LPAs are also finding it difficult to both recruit and retain staff. Almost 6 in 10 councils (58 per cent) are struggling to recruit planning officers and 36 per cent were having problems retaining them.
As such, councils are increasingly finding themselves reliant on costly agency staff; in one LPA, 90% of staff are on temporary agency contracts. Inevitably, this is having an impact on how quickly applications are being determined and the speed at which conditions are being discharged.
While industry broadly welcomed the previous Government’s action to solidify funding for planning departments through increasing fees, those fees need to be used directly and made available very quickly. The £24 million announced in 2023 to scale up local planning capacity and the £65 million announced at the 2021spending review are a good start, but real terms funding of planning departments has fallen by more than 50% since 2010. Meanwhile, planners are now required to take more decisions and with increasing complexity of development. The Royal Town Planning Institute (RTPI) estimates that £500 million will be required over four years to address significant delays in housing policy.
Concerns regarding resources in LPAs were acknowledged recently by the CMA in its recent report. It called on the Government to “improve LPA capacity and resource by raising planning fees to a cost reflective level and ringfencing those fees”.
Many developers would be amenable to paying more for planning if the service they received, the speed with which planning applications were determined and the timescales for discharge of conditions, improved rapidly.
Given housing delivery will need to play a vital role in the delivery of economic growth, it is vital that the Government works with industry, planners and local government to establish how LPAs can become self-sustaining for the long-term. Consideration should also be given to:
Anecdotally, we are increasingly receiving reports from members that the politicisation of numerous stages of the planning process is having a significant negative impact on delivery.
It is clearly appropriate that a plan-led system should have local plans that are produced with Member involvement. However, the increasing level of political involvement in applications on allocated sites, or at the detailed stage of planning post-outline consent is not and it is proving costly and damaging to the integrity of the planning system.
Increasing the efficiency of the planning process could be done by establishing a fixed national scheme of delegation. Essentially, this would introduce a higher threshold for reserved matters submissions to be determined by committee rather than planning officers.
At present, the threshold for when applications go before the planning committee is variable across the country. In some areas, all ‘major developments’ go before planning committee. In others, the threshold is 25 dwellings and in some, it is 200 dwellings.
Establishing a clear threshold that is consistent across the country would not only help to remove the political element from the system but also provide some much-needed certainty for developers.
It was also a suggestion put forward by the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) in its recent report which called for the Government to formally review: “the varied LPA schemes of delegation with a view to harmonising the complex set of rules and removing the use of Planning Committees for those applications which are broadly in-line with the local plan and/or which below an agreed threshold”.
Local plan preparation remains slow with research suggesting that by the end of 2025, just 22 per cent of local planning authorities will have plans that are up to date and less than five years old, compared to 33 per cent in July 2023.
While many of the measures set out in the recent plan making consultation might lead to limited improvements to the planning process, it remains the case that there is no statutory requirement for LPAs to prepare one. Given the scarce resources among LPAs, reductions in local government spending and ever-rising social care costs, the situation is troubling.
There are a number of solutions that could be implemented to speed up local plan making, including accelerating the implementation of National Development Management Policies (NDMPs).
If they perform as intended, NDMPs will make local plans faster to produce and easier to navigate.
This is because nationally important issues will be covered by NDMPS and thus provide more standardisation, leaving local plans to focus on locally-important issues.
However, there are a number of other actions the new Government could take to speed up local plan making, through a mixture of a carrot-and-stick approach. These include:
Delays in receiving responses from statutory consultees were also identified by the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) as one of the key factors driving up the length of the planning process.
The CMA’s recent paper on planning states: “LPAs reported issues with getting statutory consultees to respond within the 21-day consultation period. Responses from statutory consultees were stated to commonly be late and, in many cases, returned well in excess of the required 21-day period. This was largely attributed to resourcing issues within the statutory consultee organisations”.
This is problematic for industry as substantive pre-application advice from LPAs and statutory consultees is vital to the formulation of any development proposals. In working up proposals, a developer will be assessing which uses could be appropriate within a given site’s developable area based upon an analysis of opportunities and constraints. It is at this crucial stage of the development process that the land value that underpins contractual arrangements between landowner and prospective developer is established.
More often than not, however, substantive preapplication advice is not provided, which means that development proposals are worked up without a complete analysis of opportunities and constraints. This can result in schemes (and the contractual arrangements behind them) being amended once a planning application has been made or in a subsequent resubmission.
Once a planning application has been made, a ‘holding response’ from consultees is increasingly being issued, and in some cases, it is taking statutory consultees three to six months to respond fully. This further contributes to the length of time it takes for planning applications to be processed and, once approved, for development to start on site.
Tackling these challenges will require a number of solutions, including:
Local authorities require developers to make financial contributions as part of the process of granting planning permission. The purpose of these contributions is to mitigate the potential impact of development on local communities and to fund social infrastructure such as extra school facilities, health provision, open spaces, affordable housing, and highways.
Under the current arrangements, developers make contributions worth around £7 billion per annum in total. The majority of these contributions go towards affordable housing provision, and this has increasingly been the case over time.
Developer contributions are collected in three ways: as part of Section 106 (S106) agreements/planning obligations, the Community Infrastructure Levy (CIL), and highways contributions (Section 278 and Section 38 agreements).
A number of steps can be taken to improve the current framework for developer contributions.
The current Government has proposed a new Infrastructure Levy (IL), the framework for which is included in the Levelling Up and Regeneration Act (LURA). The new levy proposes to replace the current system of developer contributions (S106/CIL) with a mandatory, streamlined and locally-determined levy.
The key principles of the proposed IL are:
However, HBF – alongside housing associations, charities and some local authorities – have criticised the proposed Levy. The main concerns about the proposed IL are:
However, that is not to say that there are no issues with the existing system, particularly concerning the process of negotiating and delivering on S106 Agreements. For instance, there are often avoidable delays in the negotiation process as each agreement is drawn up from scratch, as well as opaqueness and uncertainty over how and when S106 funds are collated and spent.
Measures to mitigate delays in negotiations could include:
S106 contributions that are made to developers are also often held unspent by local authorities for extended periods of time. In total, HBF estimates that around £2.8 billion is held unspent in local authority bank accounts, including £567 million allocated for Affordable Housing.
While S106 funds inevitably take time to be spent, this often takes longer than expected due to a lack of capacity within local authorities, and a lack of effective monitoring of funds by councils. In turn, these delays are undermining support for new development as the infrastructure needed alongside new housing is not being immediately provided for local communities.
Measures to ensure developer contributions are spent in a timely way could include:
Over the past five years, the construction of 160,000 new homes across a quarter of the country has been blocked due to interventions from Natural England over concerns about high nitrate and phosphate levels in England’s waterways. While it is widely acknowledged that the contribution of the occupants of new homes to this issue is negligible, it is only the home building industry that has seen an embargo imposed.
Following a European Court of Justice ruling in 2018 known subsequently as ‘Dutch N’, in 2019 Natural England revised its guidance to local authorities in the Solent area that all new development involving overnight stays should be subject to an assessment under the Habitats Regulations to ensure that the proposal is ‘nutrient neutral’, i.e., that the volume of nitrates potentially entering the water system as a result of a new development must be offset by the removal of an equivalent amount. This was a policy intervention that could not have been foreseen, driven by an agency not directly involved in housing or planning.
In the years since, the restrictions have spread from the Solent and now cover 74 local authorities with an estimated 160,000 new homes held up in the planning process - ranging from sites with an allocation in local plans to those with full planning permission, and even some sites where construction has commenced but occupation of homes is prohibited.
Nitrates and phosphates enter waterways primarily from agricultural runoff, but also through sewage as a result of insufficient wastewater infrastructure. Research undertaken by Brookbanks on behalf of HBF finds that agriculture accounts for 70% of the nitrogen released into our rivers, and 25% of phosphates. In contrast, the occupancy of new homes accounted for just 0.29% of total nitrogen emissions each year and 0.73% of total phosphorus, based on an assumption that each new home will increase the local population by 2.4 people – the assumption that Natural England uses. However, with the actual average additional occupancy rate of 1.65, the proportion of nutrients accounted for from wastewater from net additional population falls to 0.2% for nitrogen and 0.5% for phosphorus – less than 1% of total nutrient pollution.
The research also finds that each dairy cow produces nitrogen equivalent to 29 homes while each sheep is responsible for the same amount of nitrogen as three family homes.
Despite this, while Natural England continues to impose a ban on new housing, farmers are granted licenses to use additional nutrient rich fertilisers, over and above the agreed European limits. This is resulting in hundreds of thousands of additional kilograms of nitrogen spread on agricultural land in Nitrate Vulnerable Zones (NVZs). In addition, planning permissions for new farming facilities continue to be granted, including for highly polluting Intensive Poultry Units to accommodate tens of thousands of hens, the result of which will see nutrient pollution increase at much greater levels than sustained levels of house building would ever produce.
While the home building industry is supportive of the need to protect water habitats, developers are being disproportionately impacted by the mitigation measures introduced by Natural England, with the sector’s contribution to the issue being marginal in comparison to that of agriculture.
The issue of nutrient pollution is exacerbated by the failure of water companies to invest in the infrastructure that can adequately treat wastewater, leading to frequent discharges of sewage into our rivers. This is despite water companies taking billions of pounds in infrastructure charges and adopted assets from home builders to pay for such upgrades and despite the obvious statutory requirement for them to ensure their infrastructure can cope with existing and future projected demand.
The Habitats Regulations should be revised to remove the consideration of the impacts of nutrient pollution from the appropriate assessment for the majority of planning applications, or to make it unlawful for LPAs to require through local plans that the appropriate assessment is a requirement of planning permission.
Additionally, the next government should introduce the power for the Secretary of State for Housing to make changes to, or impose conditions on, the environmental permits governing wastewater treatment plants.
Currently, Natural England bases nutrient mitigation calculations on the assumption that each new home will increase the population of the local area by 2.4 people. Given that most new housing in a given area caters for the existing population, not new people, this is a significant overestimate. As stated above, the population increase per unit is actually 1.65 and the contribution of the occupants of new homes is 0.2% for nitrogen and 0.5% for phosphorus – less than 1% of total nutrient pollution.
The next government should provide funding for Natural England and ensure that a review of its nutrient mitigation calculator is undertaken so that the minor contribution of new households is proportionately reflected and in turn, so are the associated mitigation requirements. The new calculator should focus on:
This will still maintain a cautionary approach and ensure appropriate mitigation but will overcome the problems associated with the current approach and allow tens of thousands of new homes to be delivered.
Of the 160,000 homes currently blocked by nutrient neutrality, an estimated 40% already have planning permission.
Planning permission for sites blocked by nutrient neutrality requirements should be granted an extension, to ensure that builders are not having to re-apply for the same permission. Given the lengthy and expensive process of achieving planning permission, having to reapply would see housing supply held up even further and would disproportionately affect SME builders, who do not have the financial stockpile for this approach.
Water companies must be held accountable in respect of the delivery of the required improvements and must ensure that their baseline environmental standards are maintained to the highest degree.
While the Levelling Up and Regeneration Act (LURA) has introduced a new statutory duty on water and sewerage companies in England to upgrade wastewater treatment works to the highest technically achievable limits by 2030 in nutrient neutrality areas, the new government must ensure that water companies are required to continuously upgrade their facilities beyond this date.
Additionally, the next government should impose sanctions on water companies that fail to fulfil their statutory duty. There should also be an action plan identified to ensure that any future failures on the part of water companies do not continue to adversely affect the delivery of new housing.
The home building industry is committed to delivering the high quality, energy efficient homes that the country needs, but to achieve this it is critical that we have the infrastructure and supply chain that can support this.
The enormous challenge that the industry faces in delivering on our climate and environmental ambitions also presents a great opportunity for under-supported skills to be brought forward, creating higher skilled jobs for the future.
The opportunities will embrace the production and design of new housing, including the installation of new heating and hot water systems and new construction methods that will be vital in our journey to Net Zero housing. If investment in training and education for such skills can be supported in the right way, the UK has a unique opportunity to become a world leader in the knowledge and skills base for future housing design and delivery with a workforce capable of sharing its expertise in new markets across the globe.
However, the industry has long faced a significant skills shortage due to:
To put the scale of the problem into perspective, research undertaken by HBF’s Home Building Skills Partnership has found that for every 10,000 new homes the industry builds, 30,000 new recruits are needed, including but not limited to 2,500 bricklayers, 2,500 groundwork/plant operatives and 1,000 carpenters.
HBF has proposed the following solutions as a means of overcoming the barriers to recruitment and training faced by the industry, which if resolved should put the industry on a stronger footing for delivering the high-quality, greener homes that are desperately needed.
This should include the training and recruitment of heat pump installers as well as measures to ensure that post-16 education provided through Further Education (FE) colleges has more focus on practical skills and new technologies.
The Construction Industry Training Board (CITB) has not been sufficiently nimble or attuned to the requirements of home builders. The ITB review has provided the opportunity to reform the training framework and make it better focused and more responsive to the needs of employers. The findings of the ITB review should be acted on urgently once it has concluded to alleviate any further delays in resolving the skills shortage.
In particular, the Scope Order of the CITB should be reviewed to support the training and upskilling for trades required to achieve net zero targets, such as heat pumps.
Additionally, sufficient support should be provided on an ongoing basis through CITB and otherwise to help organisations manage apprenticeships and optimise apprenticeship recruitment.
The industry would also welcome greater influence and control over the funding that it provides and receives via the CITB levy. This would not see a reduction in investment being made by businesses but would ensure a better focused and more contemporary approach.
There are numerous problems with the running of the Apprenticeship Levy:
To overcome these issues and ensure that apprenticeships are able to provide at the levels we need to see, the next government should:
In recent years, the delivery of new homes in some areas of the country has been delayed due to concerns over grid capacity. However, research has found that energy requirements for new homes significantly overestimate how much electricity new homes use.
Energy companies have found that the growing use of EV charging and heat pumps is not increasing their peak demand as expected, due to new homes being more energy efficient. A more realistic assessment estimates that the grid could support the delivery of 2.5 times as much housing as assumed.
As we move away from traditional gas boilers and towards low carbon heating systems and electric cars, new homes will need to use more electricity and the pressure on the grid will inevitably grow. As such, the new government should produce a strategy to ensure that we have sufficient grid capacity to provide for ambitious housing targets.
Build quality and customer service have always been a priority for home builders. This became a greater focus following an unacceptable drop in satisfaction levels around 2017. Since then, the industry has worked hard to improve satisfaction levels by focusing on the quality of homes built and the service they provide to customers, something that has stepped up with the launch of the New
Homes Quality Board (NHQB) and New Homes Ombudsman Service in the last couple of years.
The NHQB is an independent, not-for-profit organisation set up to oversee reforms in the quality of new homes and the customer service provided by developers. Through the Code, a broad range of additional requirements have been introduced for registered developers, to ensure that every aspect of a new home purchase is covered, from when a customer initially walks into a sales office, through to two years after the occupation of the home.
However, it is not yet mandatory for developers to be registered with the NHQB and thus abide by the Code, leaving those customers who have bought with a developer outside of the scheme unprotected by the NHQB.
We are urging the new government to continue to take forward the recommendations made by the CMA in its recent Housebuilding Market Study for a single mandatory consumer code and providing all buyers with access to an ombudsman.
The companies delivering the majority of the county’s new homes have already voluntarily registered with the NHQB. This provides customers with access to the independent New Homes Ombudsman Service, which should result in satisfaction levels continuing to improve in the coming years, and this should be afforded to all home buyers.
For further information about any of the issues raised in this report, please do not hesitate to contact: